About This Blog


  • The Warfare Is Mental (TWIM) reflects the mental warfare of a writer living in San Francisco, who also happens to skateboard. Family, friends, health, humor, art, music, science, faith and knowledge are some of the things that are important to me.
    Blogger's Statement

    Comments and criticisms from readers, writers, skaters, artists, musicians, logicians, freethinkers, believers, skeptics, scientists, theologians, philosophers, cranks, haters and trolls are welcomed. Blatantly self-promoting, bigoted, inflammatory, libelous and unnecessary ranting is subject to harsh rebuttal and relentless mocking.

    I consider myself a free thinker: Politically, I'm not partisan and believe American macropolitics are rotten to the core. Religiously, I say no creed is higher than truth and I'm not an atheist because I see no sense believing in that which cannot be known. Financially, I've been homeless and without job, and I've also made a six-figure salary, and I'm currently somewhere in between. Professionally, I'm an author, publisher, screenwriter and member of the Writer's Guild of America, who dabbles in print and web design on the side. Sexually, I'm a straight male, and I think many believers who supported Prop 8 effectively threw the first stone. Culturally, I'm a skateboarder who values life experiences and knowledge over stability.

    To dig deeper into my beliefs, interests and writing style, I suggest the recommended posts on the opposite sidebar.



    TWIM received a shared award for "Best Atheist / Skeptic Site of 2009" from HolyBlasphemy.net



    TWIM is the first and only theist blog listed on the Atheist Blogroll, a community building service provided free of charge to atheist and freethinking bloggers from around the world.
    It currently contains almost 1,000 blogs, and it goes without saying that I don't necessarily endorse the views of all of them. If you would like to join, visit Mojoey for more information.

My Mistake

Feedback

  • 
    
    ...as atheists we need to make sure that someone like cl and any Christian readers of [An Apostate's Chapel] don’t come away with the perception that the atheists caved in or were incapable of responding. I’m sure that a lot of Christians who find cl incomprehensible at times and don’t even bother reading him themselves will come away with an assumption that cl is that sort of rare intellectual theist who can prove that gods exist. And that’s how those inane rumors about the feared xian intellectuals start…

    -bbk
     An Apostate's Chapel
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You are in so over your head here, you are embarrassing yourself...
    I am well versed in many aspects of evolution biology, through my academic background, and my professional life. Unless your academic degrees and background match mine, cease and desist. Return to philosophy and rhetoric, or whatever it is you perceive your strengths to be. They are definitely not science, even at the high school level.

    -R.C. Moore
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You're doing a fine job.

    -Prof. Larry Moran
     Dept. of Biochemistry
     University of Toronto
     re: R.C. Moore & others
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Phyletic change and vicariance (or, drift and selection versus population isolation), as cl points out, are much better ways of describing what are unfortunately more commonly known as micro- and macro- evolution, respectively.

    -Dan
     Biology postdoc
     Univ. of Cyprus
     re: R.C. Moore & others
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Bottom line? Sometimes I think he's right about certain arguments, and I don't have a problem admitting that. Other times, however, I think he's wrong, and I've called him on that. But I have found he can be pretty reasonable if you (1) don't overstate your case, (2) make concessions when you have, and (3) insist he do the same.

    -Lifeguard
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I really can't thank you enough for catching me on my error in rhetoric.
    I always love a good debate! And I always enjoy your posts, as well! Keep up the great writing and the excellent eye
    for detail!

    -Briana Zimmerman
     GLST 15
     City College
     of San Francisco
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You make me smarter...

    -Mike G.
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    My tone is derogatory... [cl is] ignorant and credulous and deserves to be mocked... In the time he's been here, he's shown a consistent pattern of antagonizing everyone he comes in contact with, monopolizing threads, derailing discussions with perpetual complaints, quibbles and demands for attention, and generally making arguments that display a lack of good faith and responsiveness. In the past I've let it be, but it's become intolerable. I'm not banning him, but I'm putting in place some restrictions on how often he can comment.

    -Ebonmuse
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    This is no defense of the annoying cl, but what a self-righteous, prissy atheist you turned out to be, Ebonmuse. I'm disappointed in you, stealing a strategem from the theists.

    -The Exterminator
     to Ebonmuse
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I certainly didn't get any bad impression about cl, and I can't relate his comments with any of the things (Ebonmuse) said above. I actually thought it was quite interesting to have him around.

    -Juan Felipe
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Please continue to allow
    cl to post his views and make it clear that he is still welcome. And let me be clear, cl is not a lunatic.

    -Curtis
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    With one exception, you are the most coherent and intelligent theist I've seen on this site...

    -Steve Bowen
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I'm rooting for cl. I hope he perpetually manages to skirt the rules enough to do his damage, forcing rule revision after rule revision, ad nauseum. Awesome! Let's watch as Ebon, ever more frustrated, continues to struggle to figure out how to keep his precious private blog neat and tidy as cl keeps messing up his papers while one by one, readers leave due to an every increasing administrative presence. Outstanding! Well I won't go. The thought of this sounds like the most entertaining thing that probably would have ever happened on Daylight Atheism. Hot damn!

    -PhillyChief
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Your visit has been something of a reality check to me. It seems that when you present rational arguments and criticisms, many commenters feel territory slipping and then work up vaporous or leaky responses. I also want to remark that your presence here has considerably moved me to try being a more careful and understanding debater...

    -Brad
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I am not going to waste any more time parsing your comments to decide if they've crossed the line or not... So I banned you.

    -Greta Christina
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Note to all my regular readers: Since An Apostate’s Chapel is a free-speech zone, I don’t censor conversations.
    As it appears that cl is a troll, please note that I will not be responding to him any longer. I ask that you refrain from doing so, as well. Please don’t feed the troll!

    -The Chaplain
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Is it going to distract from my meal when crazy uncle cl starts blathering out nonsense, pick his ears with a carrot or start taking his pants off? No. In fact, it might actually heighten the experience in some amusing way. So no, I don't see cl's work as damage.

    -PhillyChief
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I am beginning to suspect that you are a troll cl. Albeit an evolved troll, but a troll nonetheless. Perhaps we should all stop feeding the troll?

    -GaySolomon
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    [cl is] is either a sophist or an incompetent when it comes to the english language... (sic)

    -ThatOtherGuy
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I’d say cl is pretty sharp...

    -Deacon Duncan
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    [E]gomaniacal troll.
    You win... You’re a disingenuous sophist through and through, cl. And a friggin’ narcissist to boot! Since I’ve thoroughly and purposefully broken the Deacon’s rules of engagement, I shall consider my right to post henceforth annulled, and move on - dramatic pause, lights out.

    -jim
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    cl, I have to say, while I fundamentally disagree with you, you are an individual which I highly respect. I think your responses are always well thought out and your insights always well thought out and pertinently derived.
    [Y]ou have made me a stronger atheist in my regards to critical thinking and debating. I really can’t wait to hear more from you. Hell, I’d even buy you a drink, good sir. Cheers!

    -Parker
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    He either thinks in a very weird way or he's quite the con artist.

    -mikespeir
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I will gladly admit that I have a boner for cl. Maybe some day I’ll even earn a place of honor on cl’s Blog of Infamy.

    -Eneasz
     Evangelical Realism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Long time reader first time poster... I like reading what you
    have to say over at Daylight Atheism so I figured I'd pop in here.

    -Pine
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    He's just a jerk
    that likes to argue.

    -KShep
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You’re not a reasonable thinker in my book. You’re simply an arguer, for better or worse. I’m Michael Palin, you’re John Cleese. You’re just a disputation-ist, bringing everything into question...

    -jim
     Reason vs. Apologetics
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Motherfucker, this is an interesting blog though. Quite the group of commenters.

    -John Evo
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You are very articulate, and I can only assume that it's a result of high intelligence; an intelligence that's interested in, and can understand, healthy debate. However, at every turn, that's not what I or others seem to get.

    -ex machina
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    You are a troll, a liar, and a useless sack of shit. Not only that, but you're still wrong even after moving the goal posts and trying to re-write history. So, you can stop cyber stalking me now and trying to provoke me. I know what you are doing, and you are doing it so that you can whine about how I'm being irrational and mean to you and stroke your pathetic martyr complex. You're a pathetic attention whore and I've already given you too much attention. So, back the fuck off, stop following me around the intarwebs and trying to provoke me, and fuck off.

    -OMGF
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I would just like to say that, OMGF, having read the debate as a neutral observer, some of the things cl says about your style of argument are true, IMO. It is quite hasty, which means you occasionally haven't got the central point cl is trying to make...

    -John D.
     Daylight Atheism
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    cl says, “The minute you call yourself a Christian or an Atheist or whatever the heck else, you automatically get painted by other people’s interpretations of those words, which are almost always different and almost always distorted.” cl’s point couldn’t be more on. As cl points out there is an important reason for not claiming any real religious (or lack thereof) belief. It puts logical constraints on one's arguments due directly to the bias of the individual that is translating the English to mind ideas of what it means to be religious.

    -Bobaloo
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ...this is a difficult question that deserves more than a kneejerk reaction, not to imply that you're kneejerking. You're the least kneejerking person I've met.

    -Quixote
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I like it when he makes me stop, think and question if I am making unfounded assertions or if I am being sloppy. What has been annoying me about cl of late is that he is being excruciatingly anal...

    -seantheblogonaut
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    If you’re here playing devil’s advocate, then, hey, you do a great job at it, it’s a service, keep us sharp... You’re a smart guy, but those are exactly the ones who give the
    worst headaches!

    -Lifeguard
     An Apostate's Chapel
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    He wraps himself in pseudo-intellectual arguments that fool people into thinking that he is some sort of expert, that he is great thinker (sic) pondering the arguments from both sides.

    -Spanish Inquisitor
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I now think that you’re an atheist, just having fun at other atheists’ expense. If that’s the case, kudos.

    -The Exterminator
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    

Chemistry

April 20, 2009

False Arguments #23 & #24: The Sufficiency Of Microevolution Tropes

There are two equal but opposite errors I see again and again in ostensibly educated discussions about evolution, and both of them involve ignorance about what scientists mean when they use the words macroevolution and microevolution, (hereafter Ma and Mi, respectively).

The creationist or believer who maintains that Ma is impossible or unproven shows an ignorance of science paralleled only by the atheist or skeptic who maintains that such is untrue because Ma is just cumulative Mi. These are what I call the sufficiency of microevolution tropes, and both of them distort scientific accuracy concerning the facts of evolution.

As genuine thinkers, we need to know what to look out for here, so first let's discuss the terms.

Continue reading "False Arguments #23 & #24: The Sufficiency Of Microevolution Tropes" »

January 22, 2009

Life In A Test Tube?
Or Jumping To False Conclusions?

A presupposition occurs when we make an exclusive statement that depends on a questionable assumption as opposed to a genuine fact.

Ironically, one fond memory I have that involves a presupposition comes from my high school science class. I can still remember my sophomore biology teacher expounding with the utmost glee and detail on Stanley Miller’s famous spark-discharge experiments at the University of Chicago. Working under Nobel laureate Harold Urey, Miller recreated what was presupposed as Earth’s primitive gaseous environment, then passed electricity through the mixture to simulate lightning. In doing so, Miller found he had created amino acids, the basic building blocks of protein, and ultimately, life.

The experiment bore a strong resemblance to Darwin’s hypothetical early-Earth scenario of cellular life assembling itself in a warm, chemically rich pond, and newspapers were quick to exclaim: “Life In A Test Tube!” Soon, other researchers including Russian biochemist Alexander Oparin had created amino acids, and subsequent repeats of Miller’s experiment demonstrated that amino acids can form spontaneously under purely natural circumstances. With a little fancy packaging, but no conclusive proof of anything, these results were prematurely used to bolster mainstream support of abiogenesis and by extension, Darwin’s general theory.

But did the work of any of these men justify media headlines of "Life In A Test Tube?"

Continue reading "Life In A Test Tube?
Or Jumping To False Conclusions?" »

March 28, 2008

Abiogenesis

As any good biologist or taxonomist can tell you, there is a fundamental line of demarcation between living and non-living systems. Among others, a few of the prerequisites for a living system of any sort are the abilities to process energy, store information and replicate. A rock, for example, seems to contain information in the form of mineral structure, textual pattern and general shape, but rocks cannot process energy or replicate. Also, all living things must contain amino acids, DNA and/or RNA. But exactly how did the first living thing or things get here? Sometimes referred to as spontaneous generation, in its most rudimentary form abiogenesis refers to the rise of life from nonliving chemical systems.

Scientists of old were known to advise the creation of mice from flies or rancid meat, and early supporters of spontaneous generation included the French biologist Felix Pouchet and the English pathologist Charles Bastian. However, Louis Pasteur, a nineteenth-century scientist generally credited as the founder of bacteriology, showed conclusively through a number of experiments that spontaneous generation appears to be impossible, as in the absence of artificial arrangement, life appears to come only from pre-existing life. This converse principle of spontaneous generation is known as the law of biogenesis. Earlier experiments were precursors to this. Two hundred years before the publishing of Origin, Francesco Redi demonstrated this simple principle with his garbage experiments, showing that living things cannot be produced from non-living material via a process of spontaneous generation. He laid a fine net over his garbage that kept living things out. Redi proved conclusively that meat kept away from flies or parasites cannot develop maggots.

The challenges of abiogenesis have been described as daunting. Twenty or so amino acids are required to get life started, and to get started under a methodologically natural context the correct amino acids in the correct ratios would need a purely natural impetus to somehow isolate then arrange themselves in the correct sequence prerequisite to the formation of life. Amino acids in general are more prone to attract extraneous, ‘junk’ molecules than each other, and objects placed in water usually favor the process of depolymerzation. In order to end up with a bona fide common ancestor in the form of a bacterium capable of giving rise to complex life and ultimately humans, the chemical reactions taking place in the early primordial soup must have produced molecules with the ability to self-replicate. Further challenging is that in order for a cell to divide itself, that cell must have a totally functional mitochondrial DNA. Capacity of an organism for cell reproduction is dependent on the presence of a complete genetic code. “Proteins depend on DNA for their formation. But DNA cannot form without pre-existing protein,” says Francis Hitching. Here we have the Darwinian equivalent of an age-old problem: which came first, the DNA or the protein?
The Neck of the Giraffe, 1982, p. 68

A string of research related to the unexpected production of amino acids in the famous Miller-Urey spark-discharge experiments is close to simulating the rise of life from non-life. Of course, the imminent reality of scientists reproducing abiogenesis in a laboratory does not conclusively prove anything in favor of atheism, and the occurrence can equally be argued as strong evidence for the validity of the teleological worldview. Scientists creating life from nonliving chemicals in a laboratory can hardly be argued as proof for spontaneous generation because scientists working towards a desired end cannot be classified as spontaneous, or blind. Intelligence is required to know which variables and control factors to select, intelligence is required to approximate the reactions of the various chemicals to one another and the real question still remains: How did the original sequencing occur in the complete absence of intelligence?

Arguments about life’s complexity combined with refinements in the field of statistics have pressed a considerable case against the theory of undirected, random emergence of life. As a measure of reference, it is estimated that in the entire known universe we find the smallest measurable unit of matter, the electron, in a quantity of 1080. We would have 10130 electrons in the universe if they were completely crammed in until no more could fit. The great French scientist and probability expert Emile Borel has stated that anything with a probability greater than 1050 to 1 will likely never happen through chance. Several alleged probability experiments have claimed to determine the statistical probability of abiogenesis. While I've heard quite a varying range of figures that is not worth repeating here, I will state that none of the figures observed had a probability of less than 1050.

This is not offered as conclusive proof of anything, but a point of reference for further research.

Disclaimer


  • Ambition, avarice, personal animosity, party opposition, and many other motives operate equally upon those who support and those who oppose either side of a question. We, upon many occasions, see wise and good men on the wrong as well as on the right side of questions of the first magnitude to society...

    This circumstance, if duly attended to, would furnish a lesson of moderation to those who are ever so persuaded of their being right in any controversy. For in politics, as in religion, it is equally absurd to aim at making proselytes by fire
    and sword.

    -Alexander Hamilton

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Real Talk

  • 
    
    Science is the tool of the Western mind and with it more doors can be opened than with bare hands. It is part and parcel of our knowledge and obscures our insight only when it holds that the understanding given by it is the only kind there is.

    -Carl Gustav Jung
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    A really stylish fisking is witty, logical, sarcastic and ruthlessly factual; flaming or handwaving is considered poor form.

    -Eric S. Raymond
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    At the heart of science is an essential tension... [A]n openness to new ideas, no matter how bizarre or counter intuitive they may be, and the most ruthless, skeptical scrutiny of all ideas, old and new.

    -Carl Sagan
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Circumstantial evidence is a very tricky thing...
    It may seem to point very straight to one thing, but if you shift your own point of view a little, you may find it pointing in an equally uncompromising manner to something entirely different... There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact.

    -Sherlock Holmes
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    If today you can take a thing like evolution and make it a crime to teach it in the public school, tomorrow you can make it a crime to teach it in the private schools, and the next year you can make it a crime to teach it to the hustings or in the church. At the next session you may ban books and newspapers. Soon you may set Catholic against Protestant and Protestant against Protestant, and try to foist your own religion upon the minds of men...

    -Clarence Darrow, 1925
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    The truth is imperishable, eternal and immortal and needs no human agency to support it...

    -Dudley Malone
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    ...this most beautiful system of the sun, planets and comets could only proceed from the counsel and dominion of an intelligent and powerful Being... I find more sure marks of authenticity in the Bible than in any profane history whatsoever.

    -Isaac Newton
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Creationists and evolutionists are alike in their foolish arrogance. As the Lord asked Job, Where wast thou when I laid the foundations of the earth?

    -The Stranger
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    It is my nature to think where others read; to ask less whether the world agrees with me than whether I agree with the truth.

    -Thomas Sydenham
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Most families, orders, classes, and phyla appear rather suddenly in the fossil record, often without anatomically intermediate forms smoothly interlinking evolutionarily derived descendant taxa with their presumed ancestors.

    -Niles Eldredge
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    There are many levels of life which we cannot see and know, yet which certainly exist...

    -Manly P. Hall
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    There are two equal and opposite errors into which our race can fall about devils. One is to disbelieve in their existence. The other is to believe and to feel an excessive and unhealthy interest in them. They themselves are equally pleased by both errors and hail a materialist or
    a magician with the
    same delight.

    -CS Lewis
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Sins carry their punishment with them by the order of nature and by virtue of the mechanical structure of things itself; and in the same way, noble actions will attract their rewards by ways which are mechanical as far as bodies are concerned...

    -Gottfried Leibniz
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    We may acknowledge a central and surprising fact of life's history, marked decrease in disparity followed by an outstanding increase in diversity within the few surviving designs.

    -Stephen Jay Gould
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    It is a disgraceful and dangerous thing to hear a Christian, presumably giving the meaning of Holy Scripture, talking nonsense on these topics and we should take all means to prevent such an embarrassing situation, in which people show up vast ignorance in a Christian and laugh it to scorn... If they find a Christian mistaken in a field which they themselves know well and hear him maintaining his foolish opinions, how are they going to believe in the matters concerning the resurrection of the dead, the hope of eternal life and the kingdom of heaven?

    -St. Augustine
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Liberty cannot be established without morality... It depends upon ourselves whether the principle is to lead to servitude or freedom, to knowledge or barbarism, to prosperity or wretchedness.

    -Alexis de Toqueville
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    If a man's honesty were called into question, it would be ridiculous to refer to the man's own word, whether he be honest or not. The same absurdity there is in attempting to prove, by any kind of reasoning, probable or demonstrative, that our reason is not fallacious, since the very point in question is, whether reasoning may be trusted.

    -Thomas Reid
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I would unite with anybody to do right and with nobody to do wrong.

    -Frederick Douglass
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    The person who is living at his best is still searching for better ways to live. Such a person has kept the ability to wonder about life. He expects every day to teach him something new and better. He is open-minded and open-hearted, like a little child filled with wonder and delight at every new experience. Jesus found that many religious people, like the Pharisees and the Sadducees, were not teachable. They felt that they already knew all the answers.

    -Ross, Hills
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    One can do all the right things outwardly, have an extensive knowledge of Scripture, and have a vital grasp of church doctrine, but fail badly in relating to and loving people. True Christianity and genuine spirituality cannot be divorced from intimate human relationships.

    -Dick Innes
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    I see in the near future a crisis approaching that unnerves me, and causes me to tremble for the safety of our country. Corporations have been enthroned, an era of corruption will follow, and the money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working upon the prejudices of the people, until wealth is aggregated in a few hands and the republic is destroyed.

    -Abraham Lincoln
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    The destructive impact of Western Civilization upon so many other societies rests on its ability to demoralize their ideological and spiritual culture as much as its ability to destroy them in a material sense with firearms.

    -Carroll Quigley
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    There was a time when I was running about the world, fancying myself to be well employed, but I was really a most wretched being... I thought that I ought to do anything rather than be a philosopher.

    -Plato's Symposium
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    Well, as of none of the company seem disposed to drink much, I may be forgiven for saying, as a physician, that drinking deep is a bad practice, which I never follow, if I can help, and certainly do not recommend to another, least of all to any one who still feels the effects of yesterday’s carouse.

    -Eryximachus
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    The exuberant overuse of imagination would attempt a solution like putting the socks in the shoes first and then shoving them both on at once or maybe, sewing the socks to the bottom of the pants legs.

    -Robert Williams
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    The thing we pray for may happen, but how can you ever know it was not going to happen anyway? Now even if all the things that people prayed for happened, which they do not, this would not prove what Christians mean by the efficacy of prayer. For prayer is request. The essence of request, as distinct from compulsion, is that it may or may not be granted. And if an infinitely wise Being listens to the requests of finite and foolish creatures, of course He will sometimes grant and sometimes refuse them. Invariable "success" in prayer would not prove the Christian doctrine at all. It would prove something much more like magic...

    -C.S. Lewis